I am going over some information from last night's 0z run (6pm CT) and the 6z (12am) run of the models. Snowfall amounts still look impressive for parts of southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, and western Kentucky.
First of all, for most of the area we are talking about ALL snow. Here is the 0z GFS run for Cape Girardeau. It is showing the atmosphere being supportive of all snow starting around 7pm CT Thursday. That being said, there could be a little sleet at the onset.
The above image is using a program called BUFKIT. BUFKIT is great because it allows for a visualization of the atmosphere. Unfortunately, there are only specific data points available for the BUFKIT in the KFVS viewing area (Cape Girardeau, Farmington, and Paducah). This is the reason why I haven't been giving any data for southern Illinois. There isn't data available. Don't blame me. Blame NOAA. :)
Some of the snowfall totals from the GFS through BUFKIT:
- Cape Girardeau, Missouri: 10.4"
- Evansville, Indiana: 4.8"
- Farmington, Missouri: 11"
- Jonesboro, Arkansas: 9"
- Paducah, Kentucky: 9.2"
- St. Louis, Missouri: 5.6"
Here is a different look at the 6z run of the GFS. The map is displaying snowfall totals through 6am CT Saturday.
Finally, the NAM forecast model is starting to come in line with the snow, albeit not as agressive as the GFS. Here is the 6z run of the NAM's depiction of snowfall amounts.
Finally, here is another map I have just come across. This is displaying the 0z run of the GFS for the KFVS viewing area.
As you can see, the models are suggesting amounts anywhere from 2" to up to 12" of snow across the region. Notice there is a little variance from the 6z run of the same model as the 6z run (US map earlier in post) has the heavy 10"-12" band of snow a little further east.
PLEASE keep in mind the above numbers are straight from the model. These numbers are NOT the forecast amounts. As soon as my snow forecast is finished, I'll be sure to have it on Heartland News on KFVS and here on the blog. I will be back at work this afternoon and I am filling in for Bob Reeves tonight on Heartland News.
Special thanks to Bob Evans for the use of their free wifi. I've been sitting here typing up the blog while eating breakfast before finally getting home.