Thursday, January 7, 2010

Forecast Verification; How'd We Do?

Now that the flakes have settled, figuratively speaking as it will be windy for several hours, it is time to take a look back on the forecast and see how we did.

Here is our forecast from Tuesday afternoon. At the bottom of the image is our forecast. Overlayed in the smaller yellow text is reports of snow from co-op oberservers, the National Weather Service, and the public. (click the image to see a larger version)

Yes, we were a little "heavy" for our southern counties. Wednesday night I thought that might happen as the last run of data came in before the snow really hit. I got a little bit by the higher elevation of the Missouri Ozarks. That location is always a tricky place to forecast. Often times they will get higher amounts than what the models advertise. At least I got the timing about right as to when the snow would start falling.

Overall, I think we did a pretty good job. What do you think?

1 comments:

Great job on the forecast.Now what about nexts week storm??I have heard possible ice and sleet.OH NO.not ice storm again!!!!

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