tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-68902466969113913082024-02-20T16:06:42.665-05:00New at Dis HourJohn Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.comBlogger802125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-31682779418418570802023-01-24T12:58:00.002-05:002023-01-24T12:58:23.227-05:00Mid-week Snow Coming to Central Indiana<p>We're just about 12 hours from snow arriving in central Indiana. The updated forecast from <span class="xv78j7m" spellcheck="false">NOAA NWS Weather Prediction Center</span> suggests there is anywhere from a 50% to 95% probability for a 4" or greater snow in central Indiana.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgbunnV8fP9zkxsTMnDh8r-MtiTIWoSOjjwu8TUd1XZLOBG6Vw2oGWL_wCJtRphDkmQaOcyfUe0hm5lPptMAR69Q7UZNfHcbtxq5kQKQUqcc7COlxIN-gexCEvmjkO0VH2_8-6dDi2X4xKYH5Libf6QbGZp6vNay3TFOGpEwS8dyw8suMIapfETGP9/s785/4%20Prob.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="631" data-original-width="785" height="321" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgbunnV8fP9zkxsTMnDh8r-MtiTIWoSOjjwu8TUd1XZLOBG6Vw2oGWL_wCJtRphDkmQaOcyfUe0hm5lPptMAR69Q7UZNfHcbtxq5kQKQUqcc7COlxIN-gexCEvmjkO0VH2_8-6dDi2X4xKYH5Libf6QbGZp6vNay3TFOGpEwS8dyw8suMIapfETGP9/w400-h321/4%20Prob.PNG" width="400" /></a></div><p>When looking at an 8" or greater snow they include a large portion of central Indiana in a 40% to 60% probability just north of I-70 and I-69.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpWqeqUnCKza6vvbExIWItfXnoVkx8yuk1_sn3qqfc7XTdv_OSEeXtb1q3QvJlqIkGt17wjrbHQClYV9WPwKCSME8Lj2kM2YbvY_D6p2zRfLLsav9HH4lyNssv3Eo0T6A2j05wCZF5J0RcD2gMBmuJVdKvcQ6cugGl7fwv4hoFWJJlx_0pyPSkiC2W/s787/8%20Prob.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="625" data-original-width="787" height="318" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpWqeqUnCKza6vvbExIWItfXnoVkx8yuk1_sn3qqfc7XTdv_OSEeXtb1q3QvJlqIkGt17wjrbHQClYV9WPwKCSME8Lj2kM2YbvY_D6p2zRfLLsav9HH4lyNssv3Eo0T6A2j05wCZF5J0RcD2gMBmuJVdKvcQ6cugGl7fwv4hoFWJJlx_0pyPSkiC2W/w400-h318/8%20Prob.PNG" width="400" /></a></div><p>The latest 131-computer model average suggests the following for locales in Indiana.</p>Indianapolis: 7.1" | Range: 4.3" to 9.8"<br />Columbus: 5.4" | Range: 1.6" to 8"<br />Lafayette: 5.1" | Range: 3.9" to 6.5"<br /><br />A note about the type of snow that will fall Wednesday. It will be a heavier wet snow than what has fallen previously this winter. Snow to water ratio's of 8:1 to 10:1. That means it will be a good packing snow (snowballs/snowmen) but also means this is more of a "heart attack" snow. Be careful when out shoveling!<br /><br />How much snow would you like to see Wednesday?John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-37641272418952437742022-12-14T16:16:00.003-05:002022-12-14T16:19:48.096-05:00Prospects of a White Christmas in central Indiana this year<p>A lot of people starting to ask about the prospects of a White Christmas in central Indiana.</p><p>Meteorologists define "White Christmas" as having 1" of snow on the ground at 7am December 25. Historically, Indianapolis has had a White Christmas 28% of the years since 1899. The last White Christmas was 2017 and the city has only had it two out of the last 17 years. So you could say we are overdue for snow Christmas morning.</p><p>Let me just say that it too early to say with any certainty if there will, or won't be, snow on the ground for Christmas. Considering it takes just a few hundredths of an inch of liquid to produce 1" of snow (when it is very cold), it is impossible to forecast this far in advance.</p><p>That being said, I have taken a closer look at the long range global computer model ensembles. Specifically, the ECMWF, GFS, and the CMC.</p><p>If you don't know, computer model ensembles are a combination of computer model runs. Instead of running just a single forecast, the computer model is run a number of times from slightly different starting conditions. The complete set of forecasts is referred to as the ensemble, and individual forecasts within it as ensemble members.</p><p>The three ensembles - ECMWF, GFS, and CMC - result in a total of 100 different forecasts, or ensemble members. Out of the 100, 75 members suggest there will be at least 1" of snow on the ground 7am December 25. It should be noted that is a 6.3% decrease from Tuesday night's runs.</p><p>The images show the various members of the ensembles.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQ7HtYsRSgDJ38QV3xWgJcngjJWUqxeaFjbeG-22atBY3TIUzgZ6qQtgcIlbeRcnd6lJmmz-BUymcmVT0St8dKwTtlPN-xufUhb_o2d_36fCKoiy6XVPI_BxKoKKo8wSOsplpOZL2jaXZBSlxjjS0XtqluPFcAXIL0jaYnp1-V7b0llax5FTtgybU8/s984/ecmwf-ensemble-KIND-indiv_snow-1019200.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="263" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQ7HtYsRSgDJ38QV3xWgJcngjJWUqxeaFjbeG-22atBY3TIUzgZ6qQtgcIlbeRcnd6lJmmz-BUymcmVT0St8dKwTtlPN-xufUhb_o2d_36fCKoiy6XVPI_BxKoKKo8wSOsplpOZL2jaXZBSlxjjS0XtqluPFcAXIL0jaYnp1-V7b0llax5FTtgybU8/w320-h263/ecmwf-ensemble-KIND-indiv_snow-1019200.png" title="ECMWF" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgjjr74gnGAAMwEsAQMv4WrpqahH9LJE9OF4aSeZ2VakqZC6AhTua2pk1h3_plabbKrJGLnDtUxFql-mjVc-4DqgypMQGs8anQDbyO9ExoU2wiWv0r8Hk18Na1lu4EGz_G6uJe1DKdcMrJYoMt-aIyYJtwQKAXmrYK24nsZB6TIGtV-KUNRXauwuYQS/s984/gfs-ensemble-all-KIND-indiv_snow-1019200.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="263" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgjjr74gnGAAMwEsAQMv4WrpqahH9LJE9OF4aSeZ2VakqZC6AhTua2pk1h3_plabbKrJGLnDtUxFql-mjVc-4DqgypMQGs8anQDbyO9ExoU2wiWv0r8Hk18Na1lu4EGz_G6uJe1DKdcMrJYoMt-aIyYJtwQKAXmrYK24nsZB6TIGtV-KUNRXauwuYQS/w320-h263/gfs-ensemble-all-KIND-indiv_snow-1019200.png" title="GFS" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRxKOYQL9HiToQdIcmnyBiw1VCNL5WGz7og021r5R-WCYx2rSReGwSVdknpnRGr8TESuQs33ngF9Yt_ZLXcHO-1HzQluTAFIkuqFEBEZDnkuSaIYBJ4GTHUSFdtuOIvuXJpNy60InnFQ0ikJEnzlc84a1jxNV5kMbQKI3MlHsxqyviGNm5uhiDNIJ1/s984/cmc-ensemble-all-KIND-indiv_snow-1019200.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="263" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRxKOYQL9HiToQdIcmnyBiw1VCNL5WGz7og021r5R-WCYx2rSReGwSVdknpnRGr8TESuQs33ngF9Yt_ZLXcHO-1HzQluTAFIkuqFEBEZDnkuSaIYBJ4GTHUSFdtuOIvuXJpNy60InnFQ0ikJEnzlc84a1jxNV5kMbQKI3MlHsxqyviGNm5uhiDNIJ1/w320-h263/cmc-ensemble-all-KIND-indiv_snow-1019200.png" title="CMC" width="320" /></a></div><p>Keep in mind this is just one instance of runs. This is going to, and likely will, change every six hours as more data becomes available.</p><p>One thing that is looking more and more likely is a blast of cold air coming to the Midwest late next week. For more on that, visit my FB page and scroll down to the previous post.</p><p>Let me know what you are hoping for Christmas. A White Christmas or not.</p>John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-18949142407899239612022-08-24T10:36:00.007-04:002022-08-25T07:34:54.364-04:00Turning the Page<div style="text-align: left;"><span face="-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">DID YOU KNOW: You know I like to come up with interesting stats, so here are a couple for you.</span></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="7i3tn-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="7i3tn-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>4,799 and 1,404</b></span></div><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="7i3tn-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><b><br /></b></span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="86npa-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="86npa-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;">These are the number of forecasts (4,799) and newscasts (1,404) I will have appeared on Channel 8 News (KLKN-TV) through August 30. I mention the numbers because August 30 will be my last day at KLKN-TV.</div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="1kn8m-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="1kn8m-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="1kn8m-0-0"><br /></span></div><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="1kn8m-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhfjEsNSoBdWo9ReE3ZFGRs1azWgdFiRQuuZHTl4jOoMKu6Dhu6OfUpQhKC43IpDaYAE3GHTLmcwyjgTWwFOKXgsx-x25ZujMicDb2X3e_ZB3Xif2C_KhUK02E9X_si1_SfwFF5PbJTlbXDWXVDCykMf_C-oQTtlkSKCIo6CzEXgxXd9UpH4b_L90T7/s4030/IMG_3062.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2655" data-original-width="4030" height="264" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhfjEsNSoBdWo9ReE3ZFGRs1azWgdFiRQuuZHTl4jOoMKu6Dhu6OfUpQhKC43IpDaYAE3GHTLmcwyjgTWwFOKXgsx-x25ZujMicDb2X3e_ZB3Xif2C_KhUK02E9X_si1_SfwFF5PbJTlbXDWXVDCykMf_C-oQTtlkSKCIo6CzEXgxXd9UpH4b_L90T7/w400-h264/IMG_3062.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">This decision did not come hastily. I have been contemplating it for over a year and made the decision at the beginning of the year.</div></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="fec73-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="fec73-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="fec73-0-0"><br data-text="true" /></span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="aud3p-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="aud3p-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="aud3p-0-0">I have thoroughly enjoyed working evenings with Rod Fowler and Megan Conway and most recently in the mornings with Andrew Ward and Katrina Sperl. I have also enjoyed working with the talented team of meteorologists amassed during my time at the station.</span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="1uvno-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="1uvno-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="1uvno-0-0"><br data-text="true" /></span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="d3qa8-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="d3qa8-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="d3qa8-0-0">I had several goals I wanted to accomplish when arriving at the station in August 2020. </span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="3e4aa-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="3e4aa-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><ul style="text-align: left;"><li><span data-offset-key="3e4aa-0-0">First and foremost, keep viewers safe and informed when it comes to the weather. And maybe the viewer will learn a few things about weather along the way.</span></li><li>Secondly, bring professionalism to the weather department.</li><li>Third, build trust with our viewers. (And hopefully gain viewers along the way.) I wanted viewers to know they could tune in during severe weather coverage or on “normal” days and know they could get a straightforward forecast without hype.</li></ul></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="5jglo-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="5jglo-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;">I like to think those were met and accomplished.</div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="1jpi9-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="1jpi9-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="1jpi9-0-0"><br data-text="true" /></span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="bjml2-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="bjml2-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="bjml2-0-0">Finally, I want to thank everyone in Nebraska for welcoming me into their homes and always saying hello when meeting me out and about. Also, thank you for not getting too angry with me when I had to cut-in to programming, wiping out your television shows. Just know, I did it to try to keep every person – regardless of what city they reside – safe.</span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="ipp9-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="ipp9-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="ipp9-0-0"><br data-text="true" /></span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="83i30-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="83i30-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;">Additionally, after nearly 23 years, now is the right time for me to get out of the tv weather business.</div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="3fq7s-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="3fq7s-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="3fq7s-0-0"><br data-text="true" /></span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="3eilu-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="3eilu-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="3eilu-0-0">This does not mean you could not see me filling in a time or two at a station in the future because I still have a love of weather. And </span>I will continue to post weather information on Twitter (<a href="http://www.twitter.com/JohnDissauer">@JohnDissauer</a>), Facebook (<a href="http://www.facebook.com/DissauerWx">/DissauerWx</a>) and here on my blog.</div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="cev4o-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="cev4o-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="cev4o-0-0"><br data-text="true" /></span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="7ok19" data-offset-key="e0um0-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1c2b33; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="e0um0-0-0" style="direction: ltr; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="e0um0-0-0">What’s next… I am now looking for new career opportunities outside of the television and weather business. (If you know of any opportunities you think would be a good fit, send me a message!)</span></div></div>John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-7883331003001116702020-06-23T11:18:00.004-04:002020-06-23T11:23:40.299-04:00Saharan dust getting closer to the United StatesBy now you have probably heard talk about a cloud of dust moving across the Atlantic Ocean that originated from the Saharan Desert in Africa. The large area of dust is just about to reach the Gulf of Mexico.<br />
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFHserNv_i_o7NT5eU1oo_EmxRHv_PN3ZGEXeo2QiBCT6t7PYw36OGYLq8uKewOO_w2wwJUx5bs21-KXyQM7SSDSZZHbwk9x7s0PZQCXFDMYjsU8PA9CzZD8zZGVgJnV5uBNy0byBB18U/s1600/g16nc.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="820" data-original-width="1542" height="212" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFHserNv_i_o7NT5eU1oo_EmxRHv_PN3ZGEXeo2QiBCT6t7PYw36OGYLq8uKewOO_w2wwJUx5bs21-KXyQM7SSDSZZHbwk9x7s0PZQCXFDMYjsU8PA9CzZD8zZGVgJnV5uBNy0byBB18U/s400/g16nc.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">(Click image to see larger version)</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
This is a visible satellite loop over the last 6-hours this morning, ending at 10:50am EDT. If you look towards the Caribbean you can see the brown colored cloud. That's the dust! Look at how far it stretches from nearly the Gulf of Mexico all the way off the screen. Thousands and thousands of miles.<br />
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The dust will help inhibit tropical storm development over the Gulf of Mexico.<br />
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NASA computer models project some of the dust could make it to the Midwest as we get towards the end of the week and in to the weekend. That could make for some very pretty sunrises and sunsets.<br />
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For more on the dust layer and tracking it by satellite, check out <a href="https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/satellite-blog/archives/37330">this page</a> from the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies at the University of Wisconsin.John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-36207600138378283172020-06-18T13:36:00.000-04:002020-06-18T13:42:06.176-04:00Parts of Indiana register in Drought MonitorThe latest Drought Monitor classifies 70.5% of Indiana as D0 (Abnormally Dry).<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0KEu0TUf49Fdm7We42NK_J-PIwhQbEIuECwKeEbl_FIjAxL3zGVkvR3bcBTs_6v1mgSH0fkqeJaZCf8mU8woMdbbLZz-AGy7NmIYd194ok3oK6RP4o9YgMLckPWSH1eDM-ADRSmoOulY/s1600/Drought+Monitor+-+Indiana.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0KEu0TUf49Fdm7We42NK_J-PIwhQbEIuECwKeEbl_FIjAxL3zGVkvR3bcBTs_6v1mgSH0fkqeJaZCf8mU8woMdbbLZz-AGy7NmIYd194ok3oK6RP4o9YgMLckPWSH1eDM-ADRSmoOulY/s400/Drought+Monitor+-+Indiana.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">(Click image to see a larger version.)</td></tr>
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A lack of rain since June 5 is starting to show when looking at lawns around central Indiana. What was once green grass is now turning brown. Look under the grass and you can see soil drying out.<br />
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This ties for the driest June 5 through June 18 since 1871 in Indianapolis - tying 2012 - with only a trace of rain recorded.<br />
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Amazingly, Indianapolis has lost 31% of its annual precipitation surplus in 14 days. Indy was well ahead of normal as of June 4. The city was 5.70" above normal. Today, June 18, the surplus has dropped to 3.89".<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXCwJNsu9n46I-2rv7AmGmwrIEL0FMNzbh1ZFzbnq1KMohd77US2oMxtyXW_nAtDnR40sVOKddftWqJ8BAd1MxYePtfiRuL8ighbmhwujLkpxp9BZEolbBPEqcASGKbtCn5PiXYvq_uiU/s1600/Precipitation+Annual.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXCwJNsu9n46I-2rv7AmGmwrIEL0FMNzbh1ZFzbnq1KMohd77US2oMxtyXW_nAtDnR40sVOKddftWqJ8BAd1MxYePtfiRuL8ighbmhwujLkpxp9BZEolbBPEqcASGKbtCn5PiXYvq_uiU/s400/Precipitation+Annual.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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A 2-computer model average suggests 1.19" of rain falling through the next seven days. That equates to 117% the normal for the period.<br />
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A couple things to keep in mind:<br />
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<li>We are currently losing approximately 0.25" of water from the ground daily from evaporation. So to keep "even", we need 1" of rain every 4 days.</li>
<li>"Dry breads dry." When dry conditions begin to set in, it is hard to break. Often times in this situation computer models will start putting in precipitation 5-7 days out, but as we get closer to those days the models back off on the precipitation. That is the case with with the above numbers. The computer models start to introduce rainfall starting Tuesday, 5 days out.</li>
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What does this all mean? If you want to have green grass, or revive your brown, it is time to start watering. I wouldn't count on Mother Nature to do it for you anytime soon.</div>
John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-50537196188873351832020-06-16T16:38:00.002-04:002020-06-16T16:38:25.270-04:00Lack of rainfall in the MidwestTaking a closer look at regional precipitation data. It is easy to see the have's and have not's, as well as the path Cristobal took through Arkansas, Missouri, Iowa, and Wisconsin.<br />
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The map shows the percentage of the normal accumulated precipitation from June 5-15. Parts of Indiana and Illinois are running 5%-10% the normal rainfall according to data from Midwestern Regional Climate Center. Some locations are even 0%. Example: Indianapolis has only had a trace of precipitation for the period.<br />
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Are you noticing things turning brown in your neck of the woods?John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-982389038794175172020-06-16T09:57:00.002-04:002020-06-16T09:57:52.666-04:00Driest on record and not much relief in sightIf you look around central Indiana you'll notice lawns starting to turn brown. That is because we have fallen in to a dry stretch <a href="http://www.dissauer.com/2020/06/this-years-precipitation-surplus-likely.html">as suggested last week</a>.<br />
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Indianapolis has only measured a trace of precipitation since June 5. This makes this the driest June 5 through June 16 since 2012. This also ties for the record driest June 5-16 on record. Records in Indianapolis started in 1871.<br />
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This has also putting a hit on the annual precipitation surplus. Last week we were nearing 5" above normal. Through the end of today - we are not expecting any precipitation today - the surplus has dropped to 4.17"<br />
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Those looking for help from Mother Nature won't find any. Long range computer models suggest 0.49" of rain in Indianapolis over the next seven days. That is only 49% the normal rainfall. Combine that with the area losing about 0.25" of moisture from the ground due to evaporation, expect lawns to quickly turn brown.<br />
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If you haven't already, it is time to pull out sprinklers.John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-80940951110407724762020-06-13T11:20:00.000-04:002020-06-13T11:21:45.052-04:00Refreshing air set to arrive later todayHumidity will begin to quickly drop once a backdoor cold front slides through central Indiana.<br />
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Dew point temperatures were in the middle 50°s Saturday morning. They are forecast to drop in to the 40°s by late afternoon and evening.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj8hfkO_9JTYNo5Lq4HBS5t-0tjVKGAzVK-hh-aDljhxgkukzii4O3JkWdXJ5VTULgiZ-pufIf3VacTDmTvJ_TGLhcem-0ylfCZDRA4rQi63tJdkdktR0ZLlgg-VCufb84e8u2ZVBuBFVc/s1600/Dew+Point+Forecast.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj8hfkO_9JTYNo5Lq4HBS5t-0tjVKGAzVK-hh-aDljhxgkukzii4O3JkWdXJ5VTULgiZ-pufIf3VacTDmTvJ_TGLhcem-0ylfCZDRA4rQi63tJdkdktR0ZLlgg-VCufb84e8u2ZVBuBFVc/s400/Dew+Point+Forecast.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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Interesting to note that the HRRR (computer model) takes the dew point down to 31° in Indianapolis tonight. That would shatter the record low dew point for the date since 1942; 36° in 2012.<br />
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The record low dew point for the month of June is 24°. Two dates dropped that low. June 2, 1994 and June 22, 1974.John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-62415897097149036852020-06-11T11:33:00.000-04:002020-06-11T11:33:32.449-04:00This year's precipitation surplus likely to fall this weekIndianapolis is running a 4.84" precipitation surplus this year (through the end of today).<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibGAl9RgMxjGCr8KGxbWdVxs0kN5eXeGu8fVAqVro4Kf07jfDBSjFwIBttPs-94fgvJjIGf5Vv_CdTOtAUL1r3LM9E1KqgJvxfPgMAxPZeiyZfWuA20ObcVnQqlb5R6aYF66p_N-USV2Y/s1600/Precipitation+Annual.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibGAl9RgMxjGCr8KGxbWdVxs0kN5eXeGu8fVAqVro4Kf07jfDBSjFwIBttPs-94fgvJjIGf5Vv_CdTOtAUL1r3LM9E1KqgJvxfPgMAxPZeiyZfWuA20ObcVnQqlb5R6aYF66p_N-USV2Y/s400/Precipitation+Annual.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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I'm not seeing much in the way of rain coming to central Indiana over the next week. In fact, if you enjoy sunshine and low humidity you are going to like the weather through the weekend and next week.<br />
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A 2-computer model average for the next 7 days is only 0.005" in Indianapolis. That is 0.96" below normal for the time period.<br />
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It is looking like a dry stretch is upon us and the next week could put a dent in the surplus.<br />
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What are conditions like where you live?John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-54902296769340797042020-06-10T11:29:00.001-04:002020-06-10T11:29:19.230-04:00Severe thunderstorms possible Wednesday afternoonIt is a warm and humid morning around central Indiana. The temperature only dropped to 79° overnight and dew point temperatures (measure of moisture in the atmosphere) remain in the 70°s.<br />
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As temperatures increase today instability in the atmosphere will increase, especially at the surface, in eastern Indiana and Ohio.<br />
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This is computer model projection of instability at 3pm EDT.<br /><br />
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A cold front will begin to sweep through the Hoosier state during the early afternoon. Behind the front, much drier air will begin arriving. However, the front will provide lift at the surface, which in turn will aid in thunderstorm development.<br />
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A few thunderstorms have already developed in southwest Indiana. Storms will continue to "pop" over the next couple hours in central Indiana. The storms will eventually evolve in to a line of thunderstorms while moving very quickly to the north/northeast towards the Indiana/Ohio state line.<br />
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Computer models suggest the line of thunderstorms reach the Indiana/Ohio state line between around 4pm EDT.<br />
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I think the highest threat for severe weather resides in Ohio and southeast Michigan. However, strong to severe thunderstorm are possible in the eastern third of Indiana.<br />
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The main threat from thunderstorms, especially once they develop in to a line, is damaging wind. A few storms may be possible of producing hail and a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out, especially in northeast Indiana, Ohio, and southeast Michigan.John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-77483391417050177772020-06-02T08:25:00.000-04:002020-06-02T08:25:45.908-04:00Increasing humidity taking heat index to highest levels of 2020<div class="" data-block="true" data-editor="cm7uv" data-offset-key="7se4e-0-0" style="background-color: white;">
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">Say goodbye to low humidity. Southerly to southwesterly winds will help draw up low level moisture in the Hoosier state over the next 36 hours.</span></span></div>
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Dew point temperatures will climb through the 50°s today. It turns "muggly" Wednesday as dew points climb to around 70° - creating a heat index (the feel like temperature) in to the 90°s for the first time this year.</span></span></div>
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John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-38366831456840704112020-05-30T13:23:00.003-04:002020-05-30T13:23:51.773-04:00SpaceX Crew Dragon second try at launchingSpaceX and NASA are going to give another try of launching two astronauts in to space this afternoon. The launch is scheduled for 3:22pm EDT.<br />
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Similar to Wednesday I think this launch will probably not happen due to weather concerns.<br />
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<br />As you can see in the above image, this high-resolution computer model suggests scattered showers and thunderstorms around Florida. Looking at current radar, the storms have already developed, especially along the east coast of Florida. If I were to put a number on it, I'd say there is a 30% chance of the launch happening.<br />
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<b>LIVE COVERAGE OF THE SPACEX LAUNCH BY NASA:</b><br />
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John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-82940084881024347752020-05-27T10:43:00.004-04:002020-05-27T10:54:26.172-04:00Weather could play an impact in SpaceX Crew Dragon launch<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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Latest high-resolution data suggests there may be a window between 4pm-5pm for SpaceX's Demo-2 launch today. The launch is scheduled for 4:33pm EDT.</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgphrjn2YW8jAuxAIV5193hBRjgX5QCau-HkuxOqLVzS9nIvH8Au8DCtoJa5IefJhMCVgCvjnbTaEONIH1kBbs0KX94KAfpe9GglTClW54GyERJaBzbp3r_SJHxAINYoSNjVi2l0EBMwpU/s1600/Space+Launch.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgphrjn2YW8jAuxAIV5193hBRjgX5QCau-HkuxOqLVzS9nIvH8Au8DCtoJa5IefJhMCVgCvjnbTaEONIH1kBbs0KX94KAfpe9GglTClW54GyERJaBzbp3r_SJHxAINYoSNjVi2l0EBMwpU/s400/Space+Launch.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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I think one of the main concerns will be convective development in the area. That would include rain, turbulence, and lightning. I don't know the meteorological minimums for the launch so it is hard to say with more confidence.<br />
<br />
This launch is an important step for the United States space program. It has been nearly 9 years since the United States launched a person in to space. It was July 8, 2011, the final flight of NASA's Space Shuttle.<br />
<br />
Another aspect to this being a big step is this will be the first time a person will go in to space on a commercial spacecraft. Until now humans have only gone to space on the back of government space programs.<br />
<br />
<b>LIVE COVERAGE OF THE SPACEX LAUNCH BY NASA:</b><br />
<br />
<center>
<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/21X5lGlDOfg" width="560"></iframe></center>
<br />
Additional coverage from various organizations:<br />
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.space.com/spacex-demo-2-astronaut-launch-what-to-expect.html">Space.com</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.nasa.gov/content/live-launch-america-nasas-spacex-demo-2-mission-to-the-international-space-station">NASA</a></li>
<li><a href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2020/05/27/falcon-9-crew-dragon-demo-2-mission-status-center/">SpaceFlight Now</a></li>
</ul>
John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-57802873140169800242020-05-23T12:29:00.000-04:002020-05-23T12:29:18.061-04:00A few severe thunderstorms possible Saturday afternoon and eveningThere is a chance a few thunderstorms could become severe this afternoon and evening, especially in northern Illinois.<br /><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhfPmniknq9XXQMKWicEiCzj1y26EsLwctXveku-FYsOGiVvAeWiFcDSqht1YQijK5F_GGTvHMT4CyhEf_ZTsCWvPrdOwL-vzrWQqcW01nLD4pKYfuMY7mCqdtGGtFPdCqtpsW6LE3Mpgw/s1600/Severe+Wx+Threat.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhfPmniknq9XXQMKWicEiCzj1y26EsLwctXveku-FYsOGiVvAeWiFcDSqht1YQijK5F_GGTvHMT4CyhEf_ZTsCWvPrdOwL-vzrWQqcW01nLD4pKYfuMY7mCqdtGGtFPdCqtpsW6LE3Mpgw/s400/Severe+Wx+Threat.png" width="400" /></a></div>
<br />I do not expect widespread severe weather but a few storms will have the capability of producing large hail. Also, a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out, especially in northern Illinois.<br />
<br />
While weather is not necessarily top of mind during the holiday weekend, keep an eye on the weather if you're going to be out later today.John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-38821951898956710602020-05-22T08:33:00.002-04:002020-05-22T08:33:29.632-04:00Sweating weather is coming<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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Temperatures start a warming trend today and continue through Memorial Day Weekend. We are going to go from the 50°s earlier this week to the mid-80°s Sunday.<br /><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiOACMjoAgW3ZCS6FcenqijaDwfjzIc3o2Ayr9fj2ECFsO5qvZYVIOfctnus9OZyE4Ki1p9Vg8mEfx_9nPIomu9vy1V_OgAfbVuA3argX3dwHB5idO1L_udwwxqOXl5w55FUCWpvgZnwyE/s1600/7+Day+Outlook+-+IND.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiOACMjoAgW3ZCS6FcenqijaDwfjzIc3o2Ayr9fj2ECFsO5qvZYVIOfctnus9OZyE4Ki1p9Vg8mEfx_9nPIomu9vy1V_OgAfbVuA3argX3dwHB5idO1L_udwwxqOXl5w55FUCWpvgZnwyE/s400/7+Day+Outlook+-+IND.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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As temperatures increase through the weekend, so do the dew points. Right now it looks like the dew point temperature will climbs to the upper 60°s as early as Sunday and then stick around at that level through most of next week. (A couple computer models even suggest the dew point could climb in to the low 70°s.) That means our first taste of "muggly" weather is just a few days away.<br /><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh304rV5PfPwffcAFAOYGM8bCMMjfUyNEs6CN3RgwkvpTWaZIx04ocPL8dpV5a2D_wtqymb-wkavpL3hY0DOepWC32Q2go8rrImEuVsyB0Gx-QCEd5bS-iRqFPOnec7dNvlg3Nagn7l5hU/s1600/Dew+Point+Forecast+-+Day.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh304rV5PfPwffcAFAOYGM8bCMMjfUyNEs6CN3RgwkvpTWaZIx04ocPL8dpV5a2D_wtqymb-wkavpL3hY0DOepWC32Q2go8rrImEuVsyB0Gx-QCEd5bS-iRqFPOnec7dNvlg3Nagn7l5hU/s400/Dew+Point+Forecast+-+Day.png" width="400" /></a></div>
<br />
What is "muggly" weather? It is a term I have been using since the late 1990's. I use it to describe what it feels like when it feels very oppressive.<br />
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
Muggy + Ugly = Muggly</div>
<br />
Anything above 60° feels uncomfortable. Anything in the upper 60°s and 70°s becomes "muggly".<br />
<br />
What do you think? Are you ready for summer heat/humidity or are you fine with it staying cooler?John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-10268019673892524942020-05-20T16:14:00.000-04:002020-05-20T16:14:17.985-04:007-day outlook going in to Memorial Day WeekendThe latest outlook for central Indiana keeps the clouds and cooler temperatures around for at least another day. BIG changes for the weekend! Warmer temperatures & higher humidity. Even had to include a heat index for Sunday/Monday.<br /><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhByFudczY57RxvV7ETUevvOS-cnZVtI-AEUu_b2CCQT-8O6RuNhDD7BXNrQw65YgW_R-IHonF6RHkrnJH0wZBHkOePi5N_SFyT6v6_HhePAccUS9-DHNtp0AZXfFk3EULTuIAj3DVF5Xc/s1600/7+Day+Outlook+-+IND.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhByFudczY57RxvV7ETUevvOS-cnZVtI-AEUu_b2CCQT-8O6RuNhDD7BXNrQw65YgW_R-IHonF6RHkrnJH0wZBHkOePi5N_SFyT6v6_HhePAccUS9-DHNtp0AZXfFk3EULTuIAj3DVF5Xc/s400/7+Day+Outlook+-+IND.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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Along with the warmer temperatures and humidity will be a daily chance for a shower/thunderstorm. However, it will not be all day rain this weekend.John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-71011282052718403672020-05-20T12:39:00.001-04:002020-05-20T12:39:14.820-04:00Real ID requirement extendedThe Department of Homeland Security announced today that they are extending the Real ID requirement due to circumstances related to COVID-19. The date is now October 1, 2021.<br /><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgIjnfqgHEush0l04b3ha3wCGsNCNpOrwp_htcNeVgtVKXoOJWLUYf1m2fLdnbPtvib34cjPWWk-U2kaRj3Uco8460cs4rnHxF7vFfBS4oi8JlSBMm21YpT9cAWKmlg_2DiX_6ku1-YtT4/s1600/TSA+RealID.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="900" data-original-width="1600" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgIjnfqgHEush0l04b3ha3wCGsNCNpOrwp_htcNeVgtVKXoOJWLUYf1m2fLdnbPtvib34cjPWWk-U2kaRj3Uco8460cs4rnHxF7vFfBS4oi8JlSBMm21YpT9cAWKmlg_2DiX_6ku1-YtT4/s400/TSA+RealID.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<br />This is important for travelers as TSA will not be able to use your non-Real ID drivers license as a form of ID to pass through security at airports.<br />
<br />
If you aren't familiar with Real ID, it is a new secure drivers license DHS is requiring states to implement. In most states, it requires additional documentation when applying for a new drivers license or a renewal. <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/real-id">More about Real ID from DHS.</a>John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-55862807315623373412020-05-17T16:11:00.000-04:002020-05-17T16:51:52.974-04:00Flash Flood Watch issued through TuesdayHeavy rains are projected to impact central Indiana through early week.<br />
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The Weather Prediction Center - handles snow and rainfall forecasts for NOAA - has included portions of Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Kentucky in a "moderate" risk for excessive rainfall through Tuesday.<br /><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_94VjRkD317-xgXbl50DkR7zqNJEkmqQ3SNV0Dy0vyzgQvaYYQb4jVTyGBAOOQKuduIN9LnDDXsOvGoDqkpeDsHcIPBWKAkriScN1f1tB7IzXKQpif4COeRyrUPM3Lraf4DKiw1KGm_4/s1600/Flash+Flood+Potential.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_94VjRkD317-xgXbl50DkR7zqNJEkmqQ3SNV0Dy0vyzgQvaYYQb4jVTyGBAOOQKuduIN9LnDDXsOvGoDqkpeDsHcIPBWKAkriScN1f1tB7IzXKQpif4COeRyrUPM3Lraf4DKiw1KGm_4/s400/Flash+Flood+Potential.png" width="400" /></a></div>
<br />A 26-computer model average suggests the following rainfall amounts through 2pm EDT Tuesday.<br />
<br />
Columbus, IN: 1.84"<br />
Indianapolis, IN: 1.91"<br />
Richmond, IN: 2.37"<br />
<br />
To put the rainfall amounts in perspective... For Indianapolis, the amount forecast is 374% above the normal rainfall for the three day period (0.51").<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-k9v7loeBPkPca5wGtIwiQ8XFUJIBzXG2GJ4_s36jU4SMqN-1K4n2Yvz1blaiPG1wFfg5PLAcGkHpxAk8MjeYlOuC9iJY1RlkTKdaKl2u7yFpg50gD04mBYkc8ipMRpx_1MRDTCnvrGM/s1600/flashfloodwatch.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="500" data-original-width="889" height="223" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-k9v7loeBPkPca5wGtIwiQ8XFUJIBzXG2GJ4_s36jU4SMqN-1K4n2Yvz1blaiPG1wFfg5PLAcGkHpxAk8MjeYlOuC9iJY1RlkTKdaKl2u7yFpg50gD04mBYkc8ipMRpx_1MRDTCnvrGM/s400/flashfloodwatch.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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The National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch that is in effect until 2pm EDT Tuesday for portions of central Indiana.John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-81021235342251132992020-05-17T13:57:00.000-04:002020-05-17T13:57:03.079-04:00Elevated tornado threat SundayWe will need to keep an eye on thunderstorms later today/this evening. Computer models suggest a line of t'storms entering Indiana around sunset.<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRGMrsGLjNZFYESflSIyUhltfs9ak4MMnhaaj4Zg84-0LWxgGaFbsmhHBXhhOFHFvtYr_NumzcRvPNOTuB4VzVg5WsRWB911dJMzHfjGXyt6L_SXD-iQUxH2XrkJtfY2LfQ6p5UTkCEUs/s1600/hrrr-conus-indiana-refc-9760000.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="327" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRGMrsGLjNZFYESflSIyUhltfs9ak4MMnhaaj4Zg84-0LWxgGaFbsmhHBXhhOFHFvtYr_NumzcRvPNOTuB4VzVg5WsRWB911dJMzHfjGXyt6L_SXD-iQUxH2XrkJtfY2LfQ6p5UTkCEUs/s400/hrrr-conus-indiana-refc-9760000.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">HRRR computer model projection of radar imagery at 8pm EDT Sunday.</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBPiP9SaJnNgcSKj7HyfT7J1yNTzJOy4wImldpRHWUblACEkG77wXoMEQgR1mdy2Er4Ms9jy_BgS9cJ0vg2dyNohL21TP0t7ScOqnfYH8AmpolXMGoVkoXUQKi721RaLcUsJOQ813hgNk/s1600/nam-nest-conus-indiana-refc-9760000.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="327" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBPiP9SaJnNgcSKj7HyfT7J1yNTzJOy4wImldpRHWUblACEkG77wXoMEQgR1mdy2Er4Ms9jy_BgS9cJ0vg2dyNohL21TP0t7ScOqnfYH8AmpolXMGoVkoXUQKi721RaLcUsJOQ813hgNk/s400/nam-nest-conus-indiana-refc-9760000.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">NAM computer model projection of radar imagery at 8pm EDT Sunday.</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
The latest data from the Storm Prediction Center suggests the atmospheric environment will be supportive of up to a 5% tornado probability in highlighted area from 3pm-9pm EDT Sunday.<br /><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEinBcXYWEXGkBYIqgCzuJviR21O7xD6vfvRQvQ091yXtcgvS8vRP6nS7Q9MEmVt6QYwt-sJZoEMYKydfpQ6IBKnQ9i93UGenyG-04VqaSGk-rvgZ-OVReuxYzfpptsFZWwIJOW2PVIjcQI/s1600/Tornado+Threat.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEinBcXYWEXGkBYIqgCzuJviR21O7xD6vfvRQvQ091yXtcgvS8vRP6nS7Q9MEmVt6QYwt-sJZoEMYKydfpQ6IBKnQ9i93UGenyG-04VqaSGk-rvgZ-OVReuxYzfpptsFZWwIJOW2PVIjcQI/s400/Tornado+Threat.png" width="400" /></a><br /></div>
While the threat is low, it is not zero. Make sure you have a way to be alerted if/when severe weather alerts are issued from the National Weather Service.John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-50837674966888082572020-05-11T14:47:00.004-04:002020-05-11T14:47:40.343-04:00Windiest in over seven decadesWow it has been windy lately! That was the case Sunday, May 10 in central Indiana. Indianapolis alone had 13 consecutive hours with wind gusts 26+ mph.<br />
<br />
<ul>
<li>11pm: 26 mph</li>
<li>10pm: 40 mph</li>
<li>9pm: 35 mph</li>
<li>8pm: 33 mph</li>
<li>7pm: 32 mph</li>
<li>6pm: 39 mph</li>
<li>5pm: 32 mph</li>
<li>4pm: 39 mph</li>
<li>3pm: 40 mph</li>
<li>2pm: 39 mph</li>
<li>1pm: 33 mph</li>
<li>12pm: 30 mph</li>
<li>11am: 28 mph</li>
</ul>
<br />
Historically speaking it was the windiest (26+ mph gusts) May 10 since records started in 1942 according to the Midwestern Regional Climate Center.<br />
<br />
<b>NUMBER OF HOURS WITH 26+ MPH WIND GUSTS:</b><br />
<br />
<ol>
<li>13 - 2020</li>
<li>8 - 1990</li>
<li>3 - 1995, 1990, 2017</li>
</ol>
John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-45107655784387125762020-05-01T16:30:00.000-04:002020-05-01T16:30:03.373-04:00The More You Kmow: The weekend opens dryThere are great mowing conditions this evening around central Indiana. Temperatures will be in the low 60°s with sunshine. Sunset is at 8:40 p.m. in Indianapolis.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2PwoX0CmvyEjY9aYO0d3oDzRunOfGdYoo_hHxURnTtOJd2J0pOMLQZbYbdmOJK2Z4Nm_7k7OAMDeLh1aDF09hAwO7l8s7dp5RZFiCoAiZeFSo099c58TwAwVLv8Zt7s-gyX_0Nwhxww4/s1600/More+You+Kmow.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2PwoX0CmvyEjY9aYO0d3oDzRunOfGdYoo_hHxURnTtOJd2J0pOMLQZbYbdmOJK2Z4Nm_7k7OAMDeLh1aDF09hAwO7l8s7dp5RZFiCoAiZeFSo099c58TwAwVLv8Zt7s-gyX_0Nwhxww4/s400/More+You+Kmow.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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<ul>
<li>Much of Saturday will be dry and warm. Temperatures should top out around 80°. There will be a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms by evening along a weak front that looks to lay over north-central Indiana. Areal coverage of rain will be relatively small, so much of central Indiana should remain dry for the evening.</li>
<li>Sunday morning has rain which may linger in to afternoon.</li>
<li>Monday will be dry with high pressure moving in overhead.</li>
<li>As has been the case for the last couple weeks computer models suggest rain returns Day 4 - in this case Tuesday. And has also been the case computer models are in much disagreement as to timing. Right now I'm going to keep Tuesday morning, midday, and evening as "yellow".</li>
</ul>
John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-87003466021574142392020-04-29T16:35:00.001-04:002020-04-29T16:35:46.333-04:00The More You Kmow: Best days to work in the yard end of week and weekendScattered showers will remain a possibility though the evening. The rain should not be widespread over central Indiana.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiw0YJDxGn8P_OGswpav7_18VWkDMaK_bWzUsu3qwdwC3Qpf5TsV93TTmREjRphNjTpF32i8xtK6l8URwV6WvWoosvQDM3GCr5qfovuYA-8z-qmG8zT9ciY1MFfcqQW-1ra6t3kluaOl1c/s1600/More+You+Kmow.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="960" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiw0YJDxGn8P_OGswpav7_18VWkDMaK_bWzUsu3qwdwC3Qpf5TsV93TTmREjRphNjTpF32i8xtK6l8URwV6WvWoosvQDM3GCr5qfovuYA-8z-qmG8zT9ciY1MFfcqQW-1ra6t3kluaOl1c/s400/More+You+Kmow.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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<ul>
<li>Showers will be possible Thursday morning. As an area of low pressure moves off to the east, a few lingering showers could remain, especially over eastern Indiana. Heating of the day may spark a few more showers late afternoon. So I'll keep it a "yellow".</li>
<li>High pressure will keep things dry Friday and Saturday.</li>
<li>It looks like we will have rain arrive Sunday but there remains some question as to when it gets here. One medium-range computer model suggests rain starting Sunday morning and light rain continuing throughout the day. Another medium-range computer model keeps things dry Sunday morning, scattered showers developing by afternoon, and widespread rain arriving by evening.</li>
</ul>
John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-48888021974681118962020-04-29T16:06:00.002-04:002020-04-29T16:37:53.741-04:00Windy this month; Closer look at the windiest month over last three decadesEarlier today I overheard someone talking about how windy it has been recently. They were suggesting that it is a lot windier than they remember it being. That conversation sent me in to the depths of weather records.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhp9Sxo_oW_Gmqy8r-CoBE7Duqc-cqdg3Dqc2xISCQV10oG-DtNBfZIUMG3kwhQ6RH3WrGZ1bptyUTieHSFR8BynUrCSxJenX3zrn9thPAHawY6pJi9BLBXTU-T24WbbyfP3gMvTrtIopc/s1600/Windy+Umbrella.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="658" data-original-width="980" height="214" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhp9Sxo_oW_Gmqy8r-CoBE7Duqc-cqdg3Dqc2xISCQV10oG-DtNBfZIUMG3kwhQ6RH3WrGZ1bptyUTieHSFR8BynUrCSxJenX3zrn9thPAHawY6pJi9BLBXTU-T24WbbyfP3gMvTrtIopc/s320/Windy+Umbrella.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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The data shows that in fact it has been a windy April. April ranks as the #1 month number of hours with 20+ wind gusts. April averages 95.5 hours with 20+ wind gusts on average since 1990. This year April has had 157 hours with 20+ mph wind gusts through April 28. That is a 64% increase in number of hours. So yes, it has been a bit windier than usual.<br />
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In fact, it is the windiest April in 9 years. 2011 had 184 hours with 20+ mph wind gusts. We may make a run on that when you factor in today (April 29) and Thursday.<br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Click image to see larger version.</td></tr>
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April is quite a bit ahead of the #2 month, March. It works out to around 25% more. That is followed by January.</div>
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<ol>
<li>April</li>
<li>March</li>
<li>January</li>
<li>November</li>
<li>February</li>
<li>May</li>
<li>October</li>
<li>December</li>
<li>June</li>
<li>September</li>
<li>July</li>
<li>August</li>
</ol>
John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-82991927976578213862020-04-29T12:12:00.000-04:002020-04-29T12:12:23.678-04:00Allergy Tracker: Brief relief from tree and moldRain passing through central Indiana Wednesday morning has knocked down tree and mold allergens for the moment. Both tree and mold levels are expected to increase later today.<br />
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The highest tree allergens later today will be oak, maple/box elder, alder, birch, willow, hickory, mulberry, and cottonwood.John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6890246696911391308.post-48531679898059590692020-04-28T15:03:00.001-04:002020-04-28T15:03:49.816-04:00The More You Kmow: Evening showers and rain next two daysSuch a nice day in central Indiana. Temperatures this afternoon have climbed in to the 70°s. Winds are a bit gusty, out of the south-southwest up to 28 mph.<br />
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The rest of the afternoon will remain dry. A couple high-resolution, short range computer models are suggesting a few showers popping up between 5 p.m. and 6 p.m. This may be a little overdone. That being said, I am going to keep a chance of a spotty shower in the forecast by evening. By the way, sunset is 8:37 p.m. this evening.<br />
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Rain becomes widespread overnight as a line of decaying thunderstorms arrives in the Hoosier state. Rain will likely linger through the morning and midday Wednesday. I'm going to through a yellow - "at your own risk" for the evening as it does appear the rain will let up and become less widespread in coverage. However, the grass will be wet.<br />
<ul>
<li>Thursday morning looks to be wet. Moisture will be present on the backside of an area of low pressure, so showers will be likely. The rain may let up and become more scattered by midday and evening. It looks be to be windy, especially for the morning and midday.</li>
<li>Friday and Saturday look dry as high pressure moves overhead.</li>
</ul>
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<br />John Dissauerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08836294475871411884noreply@blogger.com0