Thursday, January 28, 2010

9:15pm Weather Update

Reports of freezing rain and sleet are starting to come in from northeast Arkansas. I have also gotten a report of sleet in Kennett, Missouri.

The forecast appears to be on-track. I just got word that one of the hyper-local forecast models is putting out around 6.3" of snow for Cape Girardeau, Missouri. Before you ask, this is the only point data is available to me with this specific model.

The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center just put out their latest winter weather forecast.

In the upper left panel is the probability forecast of at least 4" of snow. In the upper right panel is the probability forecast of at least 8" or greater snow. In the bottom left panel is the probability forecast of at least 12" or greater snow. In the bottom right panel is the probability forecast for at least 0.25" ice accumulation.

It appears that the forecasters at HPC are thinking along the same lines with me. That always makes me feel better when I go out on a limb with a big snow forecast.

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