Tuesday, February 2, 2010

More Snow?

If you watched last weekend I mentioned there was another storm to keep an eye on. As of right this moment, that is still the case.

It appears as if this storm would start to impact parts of southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee starting Friday morning.

Initially, it should be warm enough for everything to be rain. At some point we should see change over to snow.

Thinking now is that this will be more of a "northern track" storm than last week's. That means that there could be potential for some snow, maybe heavy, over northern portions of the KFVS viewing area versus last weekends "southern track" storm.

Here is a view of the 12z GFS run from Tuesday morning for Farmington, Missouri.

If this model were to be correct, there could be 7"-8" of snow on the ground by Saturday evening. Again, this is for Farmington, Missouri and this is just computer model output data. This is NOT the forecast.

This same model is putting out the following snowfall amounts:
  • Cape Girardeau 1.7"
  • Paducah 1.0"
  • St. Louis 4.3"
  • Indianapolis 8.1"
Tonight's 0z NAM model is suggesting that the atmosphere will be warmer and keeps all of the precipitation rain.

A few things to keep in mind. Its still early. The track is still to be determined. The models are usually not exactly right. (As was the case last weekend. Hence the reason my forecast did not match up with the models' forecasts.)

That being said, it is a storm to keep an eye on.

*Before someone asks, no I am not able to show this type of data for southern Illinois. That data is not available using this program or this type of data.


Anonymous said...

It just goes to show even when it comes to weather data, Southern Illinois is just forgotten. lol

Anonymous said...

(oh not that you forgot it!! LOL, Just that there isnt anything to use to show us what we might get)

Anonymous said...

well this system doesnt look too impressive looks do be too warm for a good snow.What about Monday and Tuesday,now that looks like a snow storm!!!

Anonymous said...

Yeah I'm already watching Mon/Tues but there is even more out there in the coming 2-3 weeks.