Sunday, January 30, 2011

11:00am Weather Update 1/30

I am still concerned about the prospects for ice this week. NOAA's Hydrometeorological Prediction Center seems to be looking at ice/freezing rain for a large swath of the country.

Here is their latest Day 3

Click the image to see a larger version.

This paints the 70% or greater probability from parts of southeast Missouri through southern Illinois, southern Indiana, western Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Right now I don't think everyone in the KFVS viewing area is in the bullseye for ice. So far I am thinking we are talking generally north of the Ohio River (extend a line from the Ohio River in to southeast Missouri).

This is far from set in stone. Some data just beginning to come in this morning is hinting at maybe a slight northward shift to the models.

The key in everything for the following days will be the temperature at the surface. If we are cold, 32 degrees or below, any rain we get will be freezing rain. If we can get above 32, even by a degree or two, we are talking just rain.

Stay tuned...

0 comments:

Twitter Delicious Facebook Digg Stumbleupon Favorites More