11:25pm Update - 1/22
The new run of the Global forecast model (GFS) is in and is coming in line with my thinking. The amounts have dropped quite a bit. It is indicating maybe 0.5" for Cape Girardeau, 1.5" for Farmington, 0.2" for Paducah and 1.8" for St. Louis. Maybe my gut has been on to something after all.
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