Thursday, December 23, 2010

The Navy Weighs In

Another one of the many computer models I look at for winter storm forecasting is produced by the U.S. Navy. It is called the Navy NOGAPS model.

Here is what last night's 0z Midshipmen's model has to say.

6pm CT Thursday:


You can see the two pieces to the storm coming together. One piece is down in the Four Corners region of the United States. The other piece is over the Dakotas.

6pm CT Friday:


Models have continued the trend of slowing this system down. Notice by 6pm Friday the storm hasn't gotten precipitation to much more east than Springfield, Missouri.

6am CT Saturday:


The model tries to bring the system through southeast Missouri, southern Illinois and parts of western Kentucky overnight Friday in to Saturday morning.

It is pretty easy to see the split pieces of energy. One stays south over Texas. The other is over northern Illinois. As the two tear apart, the moisture tears apart as well. This is well represented by this model, the European model, and the United Kingdom model. If you have followed my blog, you will know that I am a big fan of the European model and I usually lean it's direction when I forecast.

The new morning runs are starting to come in and I hope to be able to look those over and put some thoughts up on the blog. It will depend on how long I am sitting in the Volvo dealership while they are giving my car a check up. haha

I want to hear what YOU want from this storm. Leave your "Christmas Eve Storm Wish List" in the comments section of this blog post.

4 comments:

I want snow! A white Christmas would be beautiful!

I will be like a kid again if I wake up Christmas morning to a blanket of snow. I want to share that feeling and experience with my 3 year old daughter. Its very special to me.

Dang it. I guess I have to move to Indiana if I want a real winter. I want snow! I want snow! I want snow!

I am praying for a blizzard nothing would thrill me more than to have all my kids and grandkids snowed in with me for Christmas!

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