I've said several times in the last couple weeks... I am a big fan of the European forecast model. It isn't as "fashy" in the weather community as some of the other models, but it does the job.
I'm still on the fence. Not too sure what to make of this yet. Other forecasters are having the same problem. You can tell this by the lack of winter storm watches, warnings, and advisories back to the west. It might be another 12-20 hours before things get issued by the NWS.