Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Wet Pattern Shaping Up Again 5/18

Yes, I'm still alive. It has been a little while since I last updated the site. I have been taking a slight breather after all the craziness in April.

I wanted to get out in front of something that looks to be coming our way. I have been mentioning on the air for the last couple of days that we could be turning back in to a wet pattern again. Computer forecast models are continuing to indicate that. Generally speaking, the pattern shift would begin late Friday night or more likely Saturday and continue through Thursday.

Forecast models are hinting at anywhere from 2" to as much as 4.5" of rain Saturday through Wednesday. Oftentimes the models have a hard time of narrowing down the specifics of "how much" will fall but the key is looking for trends in the forecast models. If there is an indication of 4" of rain, it peeks my interest.

I'm not saying we are going to see what we had in April. I don't think we'll see that again anytime soon. However, everyone is still a little on edge from all of the rain and the ground still remains fairly saturated. I can't imagine 4" of rain, if we get that, will help that situation.

The good news: As of right now Memorial Day Weekend looks to be dry.


Weather watcher said...
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Weather watcher said...

John. Are we talking severe threat every day or just rain? That solid ten days of every day in the slight or moderate risk was a bit much.