Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Time for another look at the experimental looooooong range computer model.  This model takes a look out over the next 762 hours.  To be specific, it is the European Forecast Agency's computer model.

Here are a few observations from last week's run of the European.
  • Heat will continue to stay in place over the central United States through September 15.
  • Temperatures should be back to normal in Colorado September 17-20
  • Heat builds over the western United States September 21-24.
  • Temperatures should go below normal for the Midwest September 21-26.  Wouldn't be surprised to see several "waves" of quick moving storms pass through while northwest flow is in place.
  • Shot of cooler air and rain moves in through Great Lakes region and Midwest September 22-25.
  • Heat builds over the western United States September 29-October 2.
  • Hints of a BIG shot of cold air coming down out of Canada for the central United States (and moving through the Midwest) October 4-8.
Keep in mind, the model is just that.  A computer model.  The farther out the model looks, the higher the error rate.  The key to looking at this kind of data is to not look at specifics but instead trends and long wave patterns.

0 comments:

Twitter Delicious Facebook Digg Stumbleupon Favorites More