Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Comments from Conference Call

Just got off a conference call with forecasters from the  National Weather Service office in Paducah, Kentucky.  They brought up some very good things to consider, especially when it comes to nighttime severe weather.

Here are a couple of comments Warning Coordination Meteorologist Rick Shanklin made during the call that I found noteworthy to pass along.
  • Have more than one way to be warned of severe weather overnight.  Along with a weather radio, call family/friends that are in the path of the warned storm.  They found that having someone be warned by a phone call made the person(s) more likely to “wake-up” and take action.
  • Leave mobile homes when a watch is issued for your area instead of waiting for a warning.  This is especially true with overnight storms.  71% of deaths from tornadoes in southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky and southwest Indiana occurred in mobile homes.

TIMING

New data continues to come in from high-resolution computer model data.  Here are windows of when the RPM computer model is projecting storms to arrive.
  • St. Louis: A few storms around 7pm CT.  Main line arrives around 8pm CT.
  • Poplar Bluff:  Line of storms arrive between 9:00pm-10:00pm CT.
  • Cape Girardeau:  Line of storms arrive between 9:30pm-10:30pm CT.
Note:  These are projected time from a single run of a computer model.  These are definitely NOT set in stone.

1 comment:

agmfan3 said...

Can you give a time frame for far W KY