Thursday, April 14, 2011

Friday Storm Update 4/14

It is still looking like we could see some severe weather around southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, northwest Tennessee, northeast Arkansas and southwestern Indiana tomorrow (Friday).

The Storm Prediction Center includes the mentioned area in a "Slight Risk" area in their latest Day 2 Outlook.

A strong storm system will be moving east out of the Plains tonight. Big storms are expected to fire up over Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas and Arkansas later today. These storms will move east overnight and eventually make their way in to the the earlier mentioned area early Friday AM. Some of these storms could be strong at times with heavy rain and wind the main threat.

Once the initial first wave of showers and thunderstorms pass Friday morning we could get some sunshine breaking out by early afternoon. This is going to aid destabilization in the atmosphere. That combined with the stacked low moving through Missouri could fire up more thunderstorms by late afternoon. The main threat for the second "window" will be large hail and tornadoes.

A fly in the ointment for the second round of storms Friday will be cloud cover. It will greatly depend on how long the rain/clouds stick around from the morning thunderstorms.

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