Friday, October 30, 2009

9am Weather Update - Time to build an ark?

The rain keeps falling across southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, northwest Tennessee, and northeast Arkansas. All indications are that the rain will continue until early evening.

Some radar estimates are showing as much as 5" of rain in some locations of southeast Missouri. In the past 24 hours (7am Thursday - 7am Friday) we have officially picked up:
  • Poplar Bluff, Missouri Aiport - 2.55"
  • Cape Girardeau, Missouri Airport - 1.61"
  • Paducah, Kentucky Airport - 0.89"
  • Carbondale, Illinois Airport - 0.83"
Take a look at the following forecast models. The green bars indicate how much rain will fall in a given period of time. Time runs from right to left.

First here is a look at the NAM forecast model. It is indicating an additional 0.60" of rain for Cape Girardeau.

Here is a look at the GFS forecast model. This model is indicating an additional 0.69" of rain for Cape Girardeau.

I'm kind of amazed that the models have such consistency. Usually models will be a little more off.

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